ABSTRACTS OF ARTICLES OF THE JOURNAL "INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES".
No. 3. Vol. 30. 2024

DOI: 10.17587/it.30.124-132

S. A. Ivanov, Ph.D., Associate Professor,
Saint Petersburg State Forest Technical University named after S. M. Kirova, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation

Model of an Expert System for Forecasting Forest Fires Based on a Bayesian Belief Network

The article discusses the development of an expert system (ES) for predicting the occurrence of forest fires. The problems and technology of implementing a system based on Bayesian trust networks are defined. A forecasting expert system model has been developed. The ES is implemented and an example of calculating the probability distribution at a system node is given. The operation of the proposed expert system is shown.
Keywords: Bayesian belief networks; expert system models; Forest fires; forecasting thermal anomalies

P. 124-132

References

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